Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 68.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Diosgyor had a probability of 13.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Diosgyor win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
-0.28) 
0.13) 
