SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Paksi SE had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Paksi SE win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ferencvaros in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Paksi SE |
59.39% ( -1.41) | 21.99% ( 0.59) | 18.61% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 52.58% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.6% ( -1.27) | 45.39% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( -1.23) | 67.72% ( 1.22) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.09% ( -0.87) | 14.9% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.72% ( -1.67) | 43.27% ( 1.66) |
| Paksi SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.79% ( 0.18) | 38.2% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.03% ( 0.17) | 74.96% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Paksi SE |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.56% Total : 59.38% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.61% |
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