SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Diosgyor | Draw | Ferencvaros |
30.65% ( -0.85) | 25.78% ( 0.11) | 43.56% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.48% ( -0.81) | 50.52% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.56% ( -0.72) | 72.44% ( 0.71) |
| Diosgyor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( -0.99) | 30.51% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.27% ( -1.19) | 66.73% ( 1.18) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( 0) | 23.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.07% ( 0.01) | 56.93% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Diosgyor | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.1% Total : 30.65% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 43.56% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
