SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MTK | Draw | Fehervar |
42.67% ( 0.19) | 26.22% ( 0.02) | 31.11% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.27% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( -0.16) | 52.14% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% ( -0.14) | 73.85% ( 0.14) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( 0.02) | 24.23% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.42% ( 0.03) | 58.58% ( -0.03) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( -0.23) | 31.02% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.67% ( -0.27) | 67.33% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| MTK | Draw | Fehervar |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.67% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.11% |
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