Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 1.45pm UK
Varkert Sportpalya
Szeles (21'),
Cipetic (56' pen.), Czekus (90+5')
Melnyk (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Varda SE and MTK.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varda SE win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for MTK had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varda SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest MTK win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varda SE would win this match.
| Result |
| Varda SE | Draw | MTK |
38.14% ( -0.01) | 25.74% ( 0.02) | 36.11% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( -0.05) |
| 50.94% ( -0.07) | 49.06% ( 0.07) |
| 28.86% ( -0.06) | 71.13% ( 0.06) |
| 74.79% ( -0.04) | 25.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.06% ( -0.05) | 59.94% ( 0.05) |
| 73.66% ( -0.04) | 26.33% ( 0.03) |
