SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fehervar | Draw | MTK |
28.93% ( -1.27) | 24.78% ( -0.08) | 46.29% ( 1.35) |
| Both teams to score 55.75% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.93% ( -0.3) | 47.07% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.69% ( -0.28) | 69.31% ( 0.28) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% ( -1.04) | 29.97% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.92% ( -1.27) | 66.08% ( 1.27) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( 0.47) | 20.39% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.18% ( 0.73) | 52.82% ( -0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fehervar | Draw | MTK |
| 1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.2% Total : 28.93% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 46.29% |
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