Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zalaegerszegi TE win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for MTK had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zalaegerszegi TE win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest MTK win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
MTK | Draw | Zalaegerszegi TE |
36.04% ( -0.2) | 23.91% ( -0.01) | 40.05% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 61.69% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.46% ( 0.02) | 40.54% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.09% ( 0.02) | 62.92% ( -0.02) |
MTK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.56% ( -0.1) | 22.44% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.02% ( -0.15) | 55.97% ( 0.15) |
Zalaegerszegi TE Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.54% ( 0.11) | 20.47% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.07% ( 0.17) | 52.93% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
MTK | Draw | Zalaegerszegi TE |
2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.04% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 40.05% |
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