SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for MTK had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fehervar | Draw | MTK |
46.78% ( 0.15) | 24.3% ( -0.02) | 28.92% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.37% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.06% ( 0.04) | 44.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% ( 0.04) | 67.3% ( -0.03) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% ( 0.08) | 19.33% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.9% ( 0.13) | 51.1% ( -0.12) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( -0.06) | 28.89% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% ( -0.08) | 64.76% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fehervar | Draw | MTK |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.78% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.92% |
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