SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for MTK had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Debrecen | Draw | MTK |
45.08% ( -0.99) | 23.7% ( 0.37) | 31.21% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 60.82% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59% ( -1.46) | 40.99% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.61% ( -1.51) | 63.38% ( 1.51) |
| Debrecen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.54% ( -0.97) | 18.46% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.35% ( -1.67) | 49.65% ( 1.68) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( -0.33) | 25.4% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% ( -0.46) | 60.22% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Debrecen | Draw | MTK |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.55% Total : 45.08% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.21% |
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