SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Debrecen had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Debrecen win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paksi SE | Draw | Debrecen |
43.81% ( 0.55) | 25.31% ( -0.09) | 30.87% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.58% ( 0.2) | 48.42% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.44% ( 0.19) | 70.55% ( -0.19) |
| Paksi SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( 0.34) | 22.07% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.58% ( 0.52) | 55.41% ( -0.52) |
| Debrecen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( -0.2) | 29.3% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.73% ( -0.25) | 65.26% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paksi SE | Draw | Debrecen |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.81% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.88% |
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