Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Paksi SE had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Paksi SE win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
-0.11) 
0.02) 
