Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Paksi SE had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Paksi SE win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
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