SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varda SE | Draw | Ujpest |
35.96% ( -0.13) | 26.03% ( -0.04) | 38.01% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.1% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.67% ( 0.16) | 50.33% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.72% ( 0.14) | 72.28% ( -0.14) |
| Varda SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( -0) | 27.03% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.61% ( -0) | 62.39% ( 0) |
| Ujpest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( 0.16) | 25.86% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.16% ( 0.22) | 60.84% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varda SE | Draw | Ujpest |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.96% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.01% |
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