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Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 25
Mar 17, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Hidegkuti Nandor Stadion

MTK
2 - 1
Varda SE

Molnar (17'), Bognar (34' pen.)
Jurina (6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jovicic (86')
Jovicic (40'), Navratil (49'), Lippai (79')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between MTK and Kisvarda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zalaegerszegi TE 2-2 MTK
Sunday, March 10 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Kecskemeti TE 3-1 Varda SE
Saturday, March 9 at 2.15pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varda SE win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for MTK had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varda SE win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest MTK win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
MTKDrawVarda SE
34.06% (0.139 0.14) 24.75% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 41.18% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 58.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.1% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)44.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.75% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)67.25% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
MTK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (0.066000000000003 0.07)25.57% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (0.091999999999999 0.09)60.43% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Varda SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)21.8% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (-0.132 -0.13)55.01% (0.133 0.13)
Score Analysis
    MTK 34.06%
    Varda SE 41.18%
    Draw 24.74%
MTKDrawVarda SE
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.19% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 34.06%
1-1 @ 11.57%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.74%
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.18%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Zalaegerszegi TE 2-2 MTK
Sunday, March 10 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: MTK 0-2 Paksi SE
Sunday, March 3 at 1pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: MTK 3-1 Mezokovesdi
Friday, February 23 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Puskas Academy 6-1 MTK
Sunday, February 18 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: MTK 0-2 Fehervar
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Ferencvaros 5-1 MTK
Tuesday, February 6 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Kecskemeti TE 3-1 Varda SE
Saturday, March 9 at 2.15pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Varda SE 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE
Saturday, March 2 at 1.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Varda SE 0-1 Paksi SE
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Mezokovesdi 1-2 Varda SE
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Varda SE 0-2 Puskas Academy
Saturday, February 10 at 11.30am in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Varda SE 1-2 Fehervar
Wednesday, February 7 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I


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