SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varda SE win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Ujpest had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varda SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Ujpest win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varda SE would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varda SE | Draw | Ujpest |
38.7% ( 0.07) | 26.25% ( -0.01) | 35.05% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% ( 0.05) | 51.36% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% ( 0.05) | 73.18% ( -0.05) |
| Varda SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% ( 0.06) | 25.96% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.03% ( 0.08) | 60.96% ( -0.08) |
| Ujpest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( -0) | 28.06% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.27% ( -0) | 63.72% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varda SE | Draw | Ujpest |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.7% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.05% |
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