Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 19
Oct 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
MOL Arena Sosto (Szekesfehervar)
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Fehervar and Kisvarda.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.
| Result |
| Fehervar | Draw | Varda SE |
42.63% ( 0.02) | 26.44% ( -0.04) | 30.92% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.51% ( 0.12) |
| 46.91% ( 0.15) | 53.09% ( -0.15) |
| 25.33% ( 0.13) | 74.67% ( -0.13) |
| 75.33% ( 0.08) | 24.67% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.8% ( 0.11) | 59.2% ( -0.11) |
| 68.37% ( 0.09) | 31.63% ( -0.09) |
