Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Fehervar had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Fehervar win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
Result | ||
Fehervar | Draw | Ferencvaros |
19.83% ( 0.17) | 24.48% ( -0.05) | 55.69% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 47.05% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.19% ( 0.37) | 53.81% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.72% ( 0.31) | 75.28% ( -0.31) |
Fehervar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.25% ( 0.4) | 41.74% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.79% ( 0.35) | 78.21% ( -0.35) |
Ferencvaros Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.77% ( 0.09) | 19.23% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.06% ( 0.15) | 50.93% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Fehervar | Draw | Ferencvaros |
1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.83% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 10.91% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 55.68% |
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