SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Paksi SE had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Paksi SE win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Debrecen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Debrecen | Draw | Paksi SE |
39.15% ( 0.07) | 24.47% ( -0.1) | 36.38% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.64% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.78% ( 0.48) | 43.22% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.38% ( 0.47) | 65.62% ( -0.47) |
| Debrecen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% ( 0.25) | 22.06% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.59% ( 0.37) | 55.4% ( -0.37) |
| Paksi SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( 0.24) | 23.48% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.49% ( 0.34) | 57.51% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Debrecen | Draw | Paksi SE |
| 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.15% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.38% |
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