SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Ujpest had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Ujpest win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Debrecen | Draw | Ujpest |
44.55% ( -1.32) | 26.07% ( 0.21) | 29.37% ( 1.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.87% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.74% ( -0.27) | 52.26% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.04% ( -0.23) | 73.96% ( 0.23) |
| Debrecen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.64% ( -0.73) | 23.36% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.67% ( -1.08) | 57.33% ( 1.08) |
| Ujpest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( 0.7) | 32.32% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.17% ( 0.78) | 68.83% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Debrecen | Draw | Ujpest |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.37% |
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