SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Zalaegerszegi TE had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Zalaegerszegi TE win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zalaegerszegi TE | Draw | Ujpest |
31.46% ( 0.05) | 24.74% ( 0.14) | 43.8% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.33% ( -0.59) | 45.66% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.01% ( -0.57) | 67.98% ( 0.56) |
| Zalaegerszegi TE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( -0.26) | 27.54% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% ( -0.34) | 63.05% ( 0.34) |
| Ujpest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( -0.33) | 20.92% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.36% ( -0.52) | 53.64% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zalaegerszegi TE | Draw | Ujpest |
| 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.46% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.74% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.8% |
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