SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Kecskemeti TE had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Kecskemeti TE win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ujpest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ujpest | Draw | Kecskemeti TE |
40.15% ( 0.12) | 26.01% ( -0.01) | 33.84% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.5% ( 0.01) | 50.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% ( 0.01) | 72.42% ( -0.01) |
| Ujpest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( 0.06) | 24.78% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.64% ( 0.09) | 59.35% ( -0.09) |
| Kecskemeti TE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( -0.07) | 28.39% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.86% ( -0.08) | 64.14% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ujpest | Draw | Kecskemeti TE |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 40.15% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.84% |
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