Friendlies 3

Mar 20, 2023 at 5am UK

Churchill Park

Fiji
1 - 2
Vanuatu

FT(HT: 0-3)

Spokeyjack (18'), Joseph (22' pen.), Aru (45+2')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Fiji and Vanuatu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiji

Last Game: Fiji 1-2 P. New Guinea
Thursday, March 24 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Vanuatu

Last Game: Indonesia 6-0 Vanuatu
Saturday, June 15 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiji win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Vanuatu had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiji win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Vanuatu win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Fiji	Draw	Vanuatu
52.2% ( -0.15)	22.5% ( 0.05)	25.3% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 60.43% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.52% (

-0.17)

39.48% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.17% (

-0.18)

61.83% (

0.18)

Fiji Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.76% (

-0.11)

15.24% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.08% (

-0.21)

43.92% (

0.21)

Vanuatu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3% (

-0.02)

28.7% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.48% (

-0.03)

64.52% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Fiji 52.2%

Vanuatu 25.3%

Draw 22.5%

Fiji	Draw	Vanuatu
2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.89% Total : 52.2%	1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.5%	1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 25.3%