Last Game: Fiji 1-2 P. New Guinea Thursday, March 24 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Fiji had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Fiji win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.
