SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 1-0 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | Russia |
24.16% ( 0.09) | 27.27% ( -0.2) | 48.57% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 44.64% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.31% ( 0.73) | 59.69% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20% ( 0.55) | 80% ( -0.55) |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.29% ( 0.5) | 40.71% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.7% ( 0.45) | 77.3% ( -0.45) |
| Russia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( 0.38) | 24.71% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( 0.52) | 59.25% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | Russia |
| 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.27% Total : 24.16% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 14.06% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.57% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
