Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laos win with a probability of 49%. A win for Maldives had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Laos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Maldives win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.