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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2021 at 6pm UK
Guangxi Sports Center
MN

China
5 - 0
Maldives

Binbin (5'), Lei (30'), Carvalho (68'), Zhang (69'), Long (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Samooh (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Maldives had a probability of 17.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Maldives win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that China would win this match.

Result
ChinaDrawMaldives
58.43%23.73%17.84%
Both teams to score 45.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.47%53.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96%75.04%
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91%18.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.98%49.02%
Maldives Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.11%43.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.97%80.02%
Score Analysis
    China 58.43%
    Maldives 17.84%
    Draw 23.72%
ChinaDrawMaldives
1-0 @ 13.57%
2-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 5.45%
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 2.24%
5-0 @ 0.97%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 58.43%
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 7.94%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 6.54%
1-2 @ 4.6%
0-2 @ 2.69%
1-3 @ 1.26%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 17.84%

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