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PN
Friendlies 1
Oct 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
SN

Portugal
0 - 0
Spain


Semedo (56')
FT

Reguilon (44')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Spain had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Spain win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
PortugalDrawSpain
45.6%24.69%29.71%
Both teams to score 56.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.76%46.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.47%68.53%
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64%20.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24%52.76%
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71%28.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11%64.89%
Score Analysis
    Portugal 45.6%
    Spain 29.71%
    Draw 24.69%
PortugalDrawSpain
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-1 @ 9.26%
2-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-0 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 45.6%
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 5.9%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.31%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 4.52%
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.87%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.71%


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