Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Spain had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Spain win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.