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Friendlies 1
Oct 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
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Switzerland
1 - 2
Croatia

Gavranovic (31')
Lotomba (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brekalo (42'), Pasalic (67')
Kovacic (18'), Jedvaj (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Croatia win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
SwitzerlandDrawCroatia
56.17%21.99%21.85%
Both teams to score 57.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13%40.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74%63.26%
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58%14.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.65%42.35%
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65%32.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.14%68.85%
Score Analysis
    Switzerland 56.17%
    Croatia 21.85%
    Draw 21.98%
SwitzerlandDrawCroatia
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 6.37%
3-0 @ 5.65%
3-2 @ 3.6%
4-1 @ 3.09%
4-0 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 1.74%
5-1 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 56.17%
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 5.57%
0-0 @ 4.66%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 5.75%
0-1 @ 5.27%
0-2 @ 2.97%
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 21.85%


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