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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Bnei Sakhnin had a probability of 13.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Bnei Sakhnin win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Bnei Sakhnin |
65.92% ( 0.15) | 20.22% ( 0.02) | 13.86% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 47.82% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.64% ( -0.44) | 46.36% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.36% ( -0.42) | 68.64% ( 0.42) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.79% ( -0.09) | 13.21% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.05% ( -0.19) | 39.95% ( 0.19) |
| Bnei Sakhnin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.1% ( -0.52) | 44.91% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.14% ( -0.42) | 80.86% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Bnei Sakhnin |
| 2-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 12% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.81% Total : 65.91% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.22% | 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.3% Total : 13.86% |
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