SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashdod win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ashdod win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Hapoel Hadera win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Ashdod |
33.62% ( -0.4) | 28.43% ( 0.11) | 37.95% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 46.35% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.05% ( -0.42) | 59.95% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.8% ( -0.32) | 80.2% ( 0.32) |
| Hapoel Hadera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.7% ( -0.49) | 33.3% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.09% ( -0.54) | 69.92% ( 0.55) |
| Ashdod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.5% ( -0.03) | 30.51% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.28% ( -0.04) | 66.73% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Ashdod |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.62% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.95% |
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