SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 1-0 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Jerusalem would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
25.08% ( -0.05) | 27.61% ( -0.1) | 47.32% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.77% ( 0.31) | 60.22% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.59% ( 0.23) | 80.41% ( -0.23) |
| Hapoel Hadera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.83% ( 0.13) | 40.17% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.19% ( 0.12) | 76.8% ( -0.12) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( 0.21) | 25.55% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.58% ( 0.29) | 60.41% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 25.08% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 14% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 47.31% |
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