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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
27.66% ( -0.04) | 26.3% ( -0.03) | 46.04% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.1% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.96% ( 0.1) | 54.03% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% ( 0.09) | 75.47% ( -0.09) |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.43% ( 0.02) | 34.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.71% ( 0.02) | 71.29% ( -0.03) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( 0.08) | 23.43% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.57% ( 0.11) | 57.42% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 27.66% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 46.03% |
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