Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Tel Aviv win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Hapoel Tel Aviv	Draw	Hapoel Petah Tikva
36.72% ( -0.26)	27.69% ( -0.02)	35.6% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 48.75% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.93% (

0.09)

57.07% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.05% (

0.07)

77.96% (

-0.07)

Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17% (

-0.12)

29.83% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.08% (

-0.14)

65.92% (

0.14)

Hapoel Petah Tikva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.47% (

0.22)

30.53% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.25% (

0.26)

66.75% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Hapoel Tel Aviv 36.71%

Hapoel Petah Tikva 35.59%

Draw 27.69%

Hapoel Tel Aviv	Draw	Hapoel Petah Tikva
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.71%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.59%