Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 61.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.54%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.