Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
