Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
