SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fagiano Okayama | Draw | Shimizu S-Pulse |
30.74% ( 0.15) | 27.06% ( 0.05) | 42.19% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.54% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.43% ( -0.16) | 55.56% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.26% ( -0.13) | 76.73% ( 0.13) |
| Fagiano Okayama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% ( 0.02) | 33.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.37% ( 0.02) | 69.63% ( -0.03) |
| Shimizu S-Pulse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% ( -0.18) | 26.01% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.95% ( -0.24) | 61.04% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fagiano Okayama | Draw | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.74% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.19% |
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