Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.

Result
Consadole Sapporo	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
47.44% ( 0.37)	24.02% ( -0.32)	28.54% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 58.05% (

1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.09% (

1.39)

43.91% (

-1.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.7% (

1.34)

66.3% (

-1.34)

Consadole Sapporo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.34% (

0.7)

18.65% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.02% (

1.16)

49.98% (

-1.16)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.37% (

0.67)

28.63% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.56% (

0.84)

64.44% (

-0.84)

Score Analysis

Consadole Sapporo 47.44%

Shimizu S-Pulse 28.54%

Draw 24.01%

Consadole Sapporo	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.39% Total : 47.44%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.01%	1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.54%