Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Reims had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shimizu S-Pulse would win this match.
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