Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 62.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.