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J1 League | Gameweek 9
Apr 11, 2021 at 6am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 4
Kawasaki

Adailton (59'), Uchida (84')
Higashi (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ienaga (8', 17'), Mitoma (61'), Damiao (75')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Kawasaki Frontale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 62.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 2-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawKawasaki Frontale
17.1%20.57%62.34%
Both teams to score 54.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.45%41.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.05%63.95%
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34%37.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.56%74.44%
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.23%12.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.94%39.06%
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 17.1%
    Kawasaki Frontale 62.33%
    Draw 20.57%
FC TokyoDrawKawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 4.72%
1-0 @ 4.7%
2-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.58%
3-1 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 17.1%
1-1 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 4.86%
0-0 @ 4.81%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.57%
0-2 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-1 @ 9.9%
0-3 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 6.82%
0-4 @ 3.6%
1-4 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 3.33%
2-4 @ 1.71%
0-5 @ 1.48%
1-5 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 62.33%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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