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J1 League | Gameweek 8
Apr 7, 2021 at 11am UK
Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Kawasaki
1 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Tono (65')
Tanaka (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tashiro (57')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 76.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 7.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.37%) and 3-0 (11.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
76.36%15.81%7.83%
Both teams to score 40.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.26%43.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.87%66.13%
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.33%9.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.73%32.26%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.21%54.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.24%87.76%
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 76.35%
    Sagan Tosu 7.83%
    Draw 15.81%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
2-0 @ 14.46%
1-0 @ 12.37%
3-0 @ 11.26%
2-1 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 6.78%
4-0 @ 6.58%
4-1 @ 3.96%
5-0 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.04%
5-1 @ 1.85%
6-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 76.35%
1-1 @ 7.45%
0-0 @ 5.3%
2-2 @ 2.62%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 15.81%
0-1 @ 3.19%
1-2 @ 2.24%
0-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 7.83%

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