Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 76.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 7.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.37%) and 3-0 (11.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.