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J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 17, 2021 at 9am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
3 - 2
Shonan Bellmare

Tagawa (37'), Oliveira (40'), Watanabe (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Yamada (27'), Takahashi (79')
Ishihara (55')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Shonan Bellmare.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 23.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawShonan Bellmare
49.55%26.59%23.86%
Both teams to score 46.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39%57.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62%78.38%
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66%23.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69%57.3%
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.18%39.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.52%76.48%
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 49.55%
    Shonan Bellmare 23.86%
    Draw 26.59%
FC TokyoDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 13.52%
2-0 @ 9.84%
2-1 @ 9.06%
3-0 @ 4.77%
3-1 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 49.55%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 9.29%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 8.56%
1-2 @ 5.73%
0-2 @ 3.94%
1-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.28%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 23.86%

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