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J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 10, 2025 at 7am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
1 - 0
Vissel Kobe

Ryan (90+13' pen.)
Trevisan (7'), Ryan (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sakai (37'), Honda (90+12')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Vissel Kobe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-3 Cerezo
Tuesday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 47.72%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 1-0 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
FC TokyoDrawVissel Kobe
25.33% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 26.95% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 47.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.49% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.18% (0.034999999999997 0.03)57.83% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.45% (0.027000000000001 0.03)78.55% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.4% (0.042999999999999 0.04)38.6% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66% (0.041 0.04)75.34% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.28% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)58.65% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 25.33%
    Vissel Kobe 47.72%
    Draw 26.94%
FC TokyoDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 6.01% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 1.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 25.33%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 9.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 13.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-2 Shimizu S-Pulse
Tuesday, April 29 at 5.05am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-0 Gamba Osaka
Friday, April 25 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, April 20 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Reysol
Friday, April 11 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Okayama 1-0 FC Tokyo
Sunday, April 6 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-3 Cerezo
Tuesday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Okayama
Saturday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 Kawasaki
Wednesday, April 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 12 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, April 6 at 6am in J1 League


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