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J1 League | Gameweek 33
Oct 5, 2024 at 7am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
1 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Ko (82')
Kimoto (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Slivka (73')
Harada (54'), Kim (65')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama 1-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, September 28 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, September 28 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 52.81%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
FC TokyoDrawSagan Tosu
52.81% (-0.148 -0.15) 23.39% (0.103 0.1) 23.8% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.7% (-0.3 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (-0.419 -0.42)44.97% (0.413 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.67% (-0.402 -0.4)67.33% (0.398 0.4)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-0.208 -0.21)17.01% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-0.366 -0.37)47.14% (0.36 0.36)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2)32.88% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (-0.213 -0.21)69.46% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 52.81%
    Sagan Tosu 23.8%
    Draw 23.38%
FC TokyoDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.109 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.78% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 52.81%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.38%
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 23.8%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Yokohama 1-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, September 28 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, September 21 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 4-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, August 31 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, August 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, August 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, September 28 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, September 22 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-2 Sagan Tosu
Friday, September 13 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, August 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 5-3 Sagan Tosu
Friday, August 16 at 11.30am in J1 League


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