SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vissel Kobe | Draw | FC Tokyo |
52.56% ( -0) | 25.05% ( 0) | 22.38% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.77% ( -0) | 53.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.21% ( -0) | 74.79% ( 0) |
| Vissel Kobe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( -0) | 20.24% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.42% ( -0.01) | 52.58% ( 0.01) |
| FC Tokyo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.23% ( 0) | 38.77% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.5% ( -0) | 75.5% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vissel Kobe | Draw | FC Tokyo |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 5.33% 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.65% Total : 52.56% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.49% Total : 22.38% |
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