Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 49.84%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.