SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kashima Antlers | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 45.95% | 24.57% | 29.48% |
| Both teams to score 56.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.17% | 45.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.86% | 68.14% |
| Kashima Antlers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% | 20.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.75% | 52.25% |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% | 28.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.17% | 64.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kashima Antlers | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% 2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.95% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 5.8% 2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.19% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.48% |
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