Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 52.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.