SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 52.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Vegalta Sendai |
| 52.36% | 24.55% | 23.09% |
| Both teams to score 51.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.42% | 50.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.5% | 72.49% |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.71% | 19.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.97% | 51.03% |
| Vegalta Sendai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.39% | 36.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.6% | 73.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Vegalta Sendai |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 9.56% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.99% Total : 52.35% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 7.06% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.1% 1-2 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 3.57% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.79% Total : 23.09% |
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