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J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 29, 2021 at 11am UK
Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Kawasaki
3 - 1
Vissel Kobe

Damiao (55' pen.), Vermaelen (72' og.), Ienaga (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Muto (13')
Krkic (86')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Vissel Kobe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Vissel Kobe win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawVissel Kobe
59.76%22.05%18.19%
Both teams to score 51.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.71%46.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.42%68.57%
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.91%15.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.38%43.62%
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.79%39.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.08%75.91%
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 59.75%
    Vissel Kobe 18.19%
    Draw 22.04%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 6.25%
4-0 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-2 @ 1.38%
5-0 @ 1.19%
5-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 59.75%
1-1 @ 10.47%
0-0 @ 5.91%
2-2 @ 4.64%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.54%
1-2 @ 4.9%
0-2 @ 2.59%
1-3 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 18.19%

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