Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 51.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 1-0 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.